BibTex format
蔼补谤迟颈肠濒别调笔谤眉迟锄:2026:1748-9326/补别7产65,
author = {Pr眉tz, R and Fuss, S and Price, J and Warren, R and Forstenh盲usler, N and Wu, Y and Lessa, Derci Augustynczik A and W枚gerer, M and Krisztin, T and Havl铆k, P and Kraxner, F and Frank, S and Hasegawa, T and Doelman, JC and Daioglou, V and Humpen枚der, F and Popp, A and Rogelj, J},
doi = {1748-9326/ae7b65},
journal = {Environmental 91桃色 Letters},
title = {Climate refugia implications of warming and land-intensive mitigation under overshoot},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae7b65},
volume = {21},
year = {2026}
}
RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)
TY - JOUR
AB - Biodiversity loss is expected to escalate with every increment of global warming. Simultaneously, land-intensive climate change mitigation strategies, such as afforestation and bioenergy, may further compound biodiversity loss. So far, the magnitude of these two drivers has not been compared in the context of temperature overshoot, meaning the temporary exceedance of a targeted global warming limit. By combining spatial data on climate refugia (areas sheltering biodiversity from climate change), bioenergy cropland, and forestation for multiple cost-effective scenarios with varying levels of climate action and overshoot, we illustrate how both warming and mitigation affect today’s climate refugia across five integrated assessment models. Decisive climate action, compatible with limiting warming to 1.5 °C, reduces the combined loss of today’s climate refugia due to warming and mitigation-related land-use change by more than 50% compared to current climate policies, outweighing potentially negative implications of mitigation at the global level by limiting the magnitude and duration of warming above 1.5 °C. We observe notable differences across regions and the considered model frameworks. Overshoot implications strongly depend on the underlying biodiversity recovery assumptions.
AU - Pr眉tz,R
AU - Fuss,S
AU - Price,J
AU - Warren,R
AU - Forstenh盲usler,N
AU - Wu,Y
AU - Lessa,Derci Augustynczik A
AU - W枚gerer,M
AU - Krisztin,T
AU - Havl铆k,P
AU - Kraxner,F
AU - Frank,S
AU - Hasegawa,T
AU - Doelman,JC
AU - Daioglou,V
AU - Humpen枚der,F
AU - Popp,A
AU - Rogelj,J
DO - 1748-9326/ae7b65
PY - 2026///
TI - Climate refugia implications of warming and land-intensive mitigation under overshoot
T2 - Environmental 91桃色 Letters
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae7b65
VL - 21
ER -